Buffalo -9 vs. Ohio
Buffalo has not played particularly well so far this season, but I believe they are a much stronger team in this matchup. Ohio is weak in the trenches. Last week they gave up 461 yards of total offense to Central Michigan. I don’t expect Buffalo to have much of an issue moving the ball. The Bulls will defend the home turf in this one.
Trends: Buffalo is 11-1-1 ATS in their last 13 home games. Buffalo is 6-0-1 ATS after an ATS loss.
Northwestern +2 vs. Rutgers
Northwestern had a bye week last week, giving them an extra week to prepare for this matchup against Rutgers. This is a very balanced matchup, as the spread reflects, and I think the home team gets the edge in this game. Expect Northwestern to get back to .500 this weekend with a win over the Scarlet Knights.
Rutgers/Northwestern under 45
This game has defensive battle written all over it. Northwestern has the 109th ranked offense in college football. And Rutgers has struggled all year long to finish drives with a touchdown. The under is 50-19-1 in Northwestern last 70 home games. Under is 13-5 in Rutgers last 18 road game. Take the under in this one.
Vanderbilt/South Carolina under 51
Vanderbilts offense has simply been horrible so far this year. They haven’t been able to get anything going at all against SEC opponents. I don’t expect them to put it together this weekend in front of a roaring South Carolina crowd. South Carolina’s offense is poor as well, I think the point total is too high by about a touchdown in this game. The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Vanderbilt's last 7 games on the road. I’d be shocked in this one hits the over, but hey I’ve been wrong before.
Alabama -17 @ Mississippi State
Nick Saban and co. will travel to Mississippi State this weekend following a horrible loss against Texas A&M. Don’t look to far into that loss, Alabama is still Alabama and this is set up perfectly for a classic bounce back game. History has shown that Alabama tends to blow teams out of the water after losing the previous week. That’s what I fully expect to happen here. Take Bama, roll tide.
Trend: Alabama is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 SEC games.
Ole Miss -2.5 @ Tennessee
Tennessee has won games against Bowling Green, Tennessee Tech, Missouri, and South Carolina so far this season. None of these impress me. What does impress me is Ole Miss putting up 52 points on Arkansas last week. Ole Miss has the future Heisman winner on their side. Matt Carroll will light it up yet again this week and Ole Miss will take down Tennessee.
TCU/Oklahoma over 65
TCU has hit the over in three of the last four. They give up 31 points or more over that stretch. Oklahoma has gone over 37 points in 4 of the last 6 outings and has hit the over in each. Neither team has a strong defense, this game should be a shootout. I love the over in this game.
Army +14 @ Wisconsin
This game will be played at a very slow pace that will help army keep this within 14 points. The Black Knights have been strong against the run, giving up only 54 rushing yards per game, good enough for third in the country. This is important because Wisconsin’s bread and butter is power football. When they are forced to throw the ball, they are wildly ineffective. Mertz has thrown seven interceptions and just two touchdowns so far this season. If Army can hold down the trenches the way I believe they can, they can keep this game within 14 points and maybe even pull off an upset.
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